Dated v Brent:
Loading graph...

The Officials: Bouncy ride ahead of Powell’s proclamation

7h ago
Today is the day. It’s D-Day for the Fed and our resident macroeconomic enthusiast has been counting down the days like a nine-year-old excitedly opening ...

Latest News

Upcoming events

Most Popular

European Window: Brent Volatile At $73.15/bbl Ahead Of Fed Rate Cut

7h ago
The Nov’24 Brent Futures contract was volatile this afternoon, trading at $72.77/bbl at 12:00 BST and oscillating up to a high of $73.85/bbl around 16:20 BST before correcting to the $73.15/bbl handle by 17:00 BST (time of writing). This volatility could be attributed to market players adjusting their positions, both in cautious anticipation of the US Fed rate cut this evening and in reaction to EIA data for the week ending 13 Sep, showing that US crude oil inventories fell by 1.63 mb and production was down by 100 kb/d. According to a Reuters poll, analysts had predicted a 500 ...

COT Report: A False Sense of Security…?

8h ago
Brent has recovered from sub-$70/bbl, and there has been a sigh of relief in many markets. But are we out of the woods yet?

Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Drops Down To $72.65/bbl Handle

13h ago
Nov’24 Brent Futures flat price declined this morning from $73.27/bbl at 07:00 BST down to $72.65/bbl handles at 11:20 BST (time of writing). Crude prices fell alongside API estimates showing an unexpected increase of 1.96 mb in US crude oil inventories on Tuesday. This weakness came in spite of bullish factors including escalation of conflict in the Middle East and the potential for a 50-basis point Fed cut to stimulate US economic growth. In the news today, the explosive pagers used against Hezbollah in yesterday’s bombing in Lebanon were alleged to have been modified by Israel’s Mossad spy agency ...

European Window: Brent Rallies To $74.20/bbl

2d ago
Nov’24 Brent Futures flat price rallied from $72.59/bbl at 12:00 BST up to $74.20/bbl handles at 17:45 BST (time of writing). In the news today, Venezuela’s largest oil refinery, the Amuay refinery, has been reported as offline since 12 Sep due to a power failure, according to Reuters. The refining facility has a capacity to process 645 kb/d and suffers frequent power outages due to a chronic lack of investment. In other news, two Chinese refineries, Zhenghe Group and Shandon Huaxing Petrochemical Group, were declared bankrupt today after creditors failed to agree on restructuring plans for the refineries, as stated ...

Dated Brent Report – Any Last Sellers?

2d ago
September has been a month of many firsts in Brent futures: for one, the benchmark crude futures contract collapsed below $70/bbl on 10 Sep for the first time in three years. Soon after this feat, ICE COT data for the week ending 10 Sep reported that players were net short the Brent futures complex for the first time on record. Despite this weakness, Dated Brent and Dated differentials were shielded from the bears, with the physical differential briefly dropping to just above $0.99/bbl on 09 Sep to then rising to $1.275/bbl on 16 Sep. This relative support emerged due to ...

Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Futures Drops to $72.50/bbl

2d ago
Nov’24 Brent Futures flat price weakened this morning from $73.13/bbl at 07:00 BST to $72.50/bbl at 11:30 BST (time of writing). After last week’s upward trend, prices are relatively steady amid US output concerns, countering bearish sentiment caused by lagging Chinese demand. In the news today, Fed funds futures show markets are now pricing in a 69% chance that the US Federal Reserve will cut rates by 50 basis points, as per data by Reuters. A lower interest rate could potentially lift oil demand by supporting economic growth. In other news, the UK government is intensifying its crackdown on the ...

European Window: Brent Climbs To $72.50/bbl

3d ago
Nov’24 Brent Futures flat price climbed this afternoon from $71.76/bbl at 12:00 BST to $72.50/bbl at 17:25 BST (time of writing). The increase in crude prices comes as players wait and watch for further directional cues ahead of the Fed meeting on 18 Sep. The market is still hindered by bearish sentiment, however, amid demand worries in China and offline capacity in the Gulf of Mexico. In the news today, there has been much speculation as to whether the Fed will cut by 25 or 50 basis points. This will mark the first US interest rate cut since March 2020. ...

Brent Forecast: 16th September 2024

3d ago
Is $70/bbl the new $80/bbl? The Nov ’24 Brent futures witnessed a tumultuous last week, briefly falling below $70/bbl for the first time in three years before finding support here. While the benchmark crude oil futures contract remains above this crucial support level, we expect Brent prices to reset and oscillate around a new lower equilibrium price for now, remaining rangebound at the end of this week between $71-74/bbl. We further recommend keeping an eye out on the following drivers this week: COT data for the ICE Brent futures contract in the week ending 10 September highlighted that speculative players ...

Events

Sep 19, 2024
14:15 UTC+0:00
ARA Independent Storage
in 13h
Sep 20, 2024
18:30 UTC+0:00
Oct24 WTI Expiry
in 2d
Sep 24, 2024
20:30 UTC+0
API Stats Release
in 6d
Sep 25, 2024
07:00 UTC+0:00
Fujairah Inventories
in 7d
14:30 UTC+0
EIA Weekly Stats Release
in 7d
Sep 26, 2024
14:15 UTC+0:00
ARA Independent Storage
in 8d
Sep 30, 2024
18:30 UTC+0:00
Nov24 Brent Expiry
in 12d
Oct 1, 2024
20:30 UTC+0
API Stats Release
in 13d
Oct 2, 2024
07:00 UTC+0:00
Fujairah Inventories
in 14d
14:30 UTC+0
EIA Weekly Stats Release
in 14d
Oct 3, 2024
14:15 UTC+0:00
ARA Independent Storage
in 15d
Oct 8, 2024
04:00 UTC+0
EIA STEO
in 20d
20:30 UTC+0
API Stats Release
in 20d
Oct 9, 2024
07:00 UTC+0:00
Fujairah Inventories
in 21d
14:30 UTC+0
EIA Weekly Stats Release
in 21d
Oct 10, 2024
11:00 UTC+0:00
Oct24 ICE Gasoil Expiry
in 22d