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Overnight & Singapore Window: Brent Rallies to $77.50/bbl

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The October Brent futures flat price saw a supported performance on Wednesday morning, climbing by over $1 since 08:30 BST from $76.40/bbl to $77.50/bbl by 11:30 BST (time of writing). Price action is testing the $77.50/bbl resistance level, where the market failed to break on two separate occasions on the 2nd and 6th of August. According to the Petroleum Planning & Analysis Cell (PPAC), India’s oil demand rose by 7.4% y/y to 19.652 million tonnes in July. In contrast, China’s oil imports in July were at 9.97mb/d, the lowest on a daily basis since September 2022, underscoring concerns about weakening demand. Freight rates for dirty tanker voyages loading in West Africa have fallen to 10-month lows on weaker cargo demand levels and a seasonal lull in heating demand in Europe and the US. Saudi Aramco agreed to buy an additional stake in PetroRabigh from its joint venture partner Sumitomo for $702 million. Finally, the front (Oct/Nov) and 6-month (Oct/Apr) Brent futures spreads are at $0.55/bbl and $2.35/bbl respectively.

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Our team of skilled analysts, by utilising the depth and breadth of Onyx's proprietary data, position ourselves at the cutting edge of market analysis. This unique vantage point grants us an unparalleled perspective in the market, enabling us to identify emerging trends and lucrative opportunities.