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Brent Forecast: 12th May 2025

The Jul’25 Brent crude futures concluded bullishly last week, fuelled by positive developments in US trade talks and further sanctions on Iranian oil. As of Monday morning, prices have recouped previous losses and surpassed $65/bbl, a two-week high. This week,

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European Window report cover

European Window: Brent Bounces Back to $63.70/bbl

The Jul’25 Brent futures contract saw prices fall from $64.14/bbl at 13:32 BST down to $63.19/bbl at 15:14 BST. Prices have since slowly rallied to $63.70/bbl at 17:45 BST (time of writing). In the news, Iran has agreed to resume

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Fuel Oil Report

Fuel Oil Report – More Bullish Fuel on the Fire

High Sulphur Fuel Oil contracts saw continued strength over the past two weeks. The Jun’25 3.5% barge crack saw a strong rally in April, peaking above -90c/bbl before consolidating around -$1.55/bbl by 09 May. Open interest is elevated, 7% above

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European Window report cover

European Window: Brent Rallies to $62.90/bbl

The Jul’25 Brent futures contract saw prices continue rallying up to $62.90/bbl at 16:59 BST (time of writing). In the news, the US and UK have agreed on a deal to lower tariffs on some goods. Key points include: cars,

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Trader Meeting Notes report cover

Trader Meeting Notes: Habemus P-OPEC

Prompt Brent futures dropped sub-$60/bbl this week after OPEC+ decided to increase oil production hikes for a second consecutive month, raising output in June by 411kb/d. There was no OPEC-mageddon, and the market absorbed the news pretty well, for the

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CFTC Predictor Report cover

CFTC Predictor: Refining Length

In addition to our regular Monday CFTC COT analysis report, Onyx Insight will publish its own in-house CFTC COT forecast ahead of the official Friday report. The model forecasts changes in long and short positions using machine learning, utilising Onyx’s

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European Window report cover

European Window: Brent Drops to $61.35/bbl

The Jul’25 Brent futures contract saw prices falling from $62.72/bbl at 12:56 BST down to $61.35/bbl at 17:30 BST (time of writing). In the news, US crude oil inventories fell by 2mb in the week ending May 2, according to

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LPG Report cover

LPG Report: Sell-PG

While most propane benchmarks strengthened into the end of April but softened into the new month, the June’25 C3 CP contract (Saudi Aramco propane) has shown more resilience. The Jun’25 tenor of the Middle Eastern propane benchmark climbed from $558/mt

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Dubai market report

Dubai Market Report – OPEC(QUE) MARKETS

This week saw a significant reversal in Brent/Dubai, with the M1 contract sliding from 5 May’s high of $0.75/bbl to $0.12/bbl (at the time of writing on 6 May). This decline marked a shift from the rally building up ahead

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Technical Analysis Report cover

Technical Analysis Report: Stabilising…

The M1 Brent futures saw an exceptionally bearish week with prices selling off by $5, before finding support at $59/bbl and recovering to $62/bbl by 6 May (time of writing). On the upside, prices may see initial resistance at $64.50/bbl,

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European Window report cover

European Window: Brent Supported $62.20/bbl

The Jul’25 Brent futures contract saw prices rally to $62.78/bbl at 17:17 BST before slightly coming off to $62.20/bbl at 18:20 BST (time of writing). In the news, Saudi Arabia is considering shifting towards a market share strategy in a

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Dated Brent Supplementary Report cover

Dated Brent Supplementary Report – Down With the Phys

The Dated market suffered from the broader sell-off in crude markets, with OPEC news having a larger impact than initially thought. Supply overhang fears have inverted the Brent futures forward curve, which is in contango from Oct’25 onwards. Nonetheless, front

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