Over the past week, the Dated Brent market has been unmistakably rangebound. The front Brent spread mean reverted around 40c, and the geopolitical risk premium normalised in the flat price in lieu of genuine, bullish movements from either side as
The Dec’24 Brent futures contract saw sustained strength this afternoon, trading at $74.82/bbl at 12:00 BST and reaching $76.20/bbl at 17:45 BST (time of writing). Price action was on the rise this afternoon as the Chinese Ministry of Commerce lifted
Another week brings another selection of new trade ideas from Onyx Research, this time looking at trades in distillates, naphtha and LPG swaps. Our weekly Onyx Alpha report presents speculative and hedging trades based on technical analysis and data-driven tradecraft
The Dec’24 Brent futures contract found strength this morning, moving from $73.85/bbl at 07:00 BST up to $74.95/bbl at 11:20 BST (time of writing). Prices have been supported this morning as tensions heighten in the Middle East, with airlines including
The Dec’24 Brent futures contract found strength this morning, trading at $73.29/bbl at 07:00 BST and increasing to $74.10/bbl at 11:00 BST (time of writing). Price action saw upward movement this morning amid a new wave of Israeli airstrikes on
In the week ending 15 Oct, Brent and WTI futures saw increasingly choppy price movements, although both contracts concluded the week softer than where they started. Combined Brent and WTI managed-by-money positioning showed a 41.6mb (-9.8%) decline in long positioning
Geopolitical risk: down but not out We see a firm Brent complex this week. We forecast Dec’24 Brent futures to end the week in the mid-70s, and we anticipate a ceiling of around $78, and $73/bbl acting as a floor.
The Brent futures complex sharply retraced lower last week as the geopolitical risk premia faded on the prospect that Israel’s retaliation strike against Iran will not be targeted towards its oil or nuclear facilities. The week ending 14 Oct saw
The Dec’24 Brent futures contract found strength this morning, trading at $73.29/bbl at 07:00 BST and increasing to $74.10/bbl at 11:00 BST (time of writing). Price action saw upward movement this morning amid a new wave of Israeli airstrikes on
Dec’24 Brent futures weakened this afternoon, from over $74.50/bbl at 13:20 BST to $72.55/bbl at 16:25 BS, recovering $73.25/bbl at 17:10 BST (time of writing). Total is planning a shutdown of its largest European refinery, in Antwerp, in 2025. This
High Sulfur Fuel Oil (HSFO) remains strong this fortnight in both Northwestern Europe (NWE) and Singapore, although we now see increasing volatility in the HSFO complex. The Nov’24 3.5% barge crack rallied to -$7.30/bbl on 14 Oct before simmering off
The Dec’24 Brent crude futures contract cratered by $3 overnight Monday (14 Oct) from around $77.50/bbl to $74.50/bbl, before trading rangebound for the remainder of the week between $74/bbl and $75/bbl. Prices are set for their biggest weekly decline since
The Dec’24 Brent futures contract saw weakness this morning, trading from $74.76/bbl at 07:00 BST and declining to $74.06/bbl at 11:15 BST (time of writing). Prices lacked strength this morning amid reports of Chinese oil refining falling to a three-month
Dec’24 Brent futures fell from close to $80.00/bbl to $74.00/bbl this week as the geopolitical risk premium was priced-out and back in at a rate that puts no one’s mind to rest. As soon as part of the premium has
The Dec’24 Brent futures contract strengthened marginally this afternoon, trading at $73.96/bbl at 12:00 BST and reaching $74.20/bbl at 17:50 BST (time of writing). We saw volatility in price action throughout the afternoon amid the release of the IEA October
